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Dollar Strength Begins To Fade – November 11th 2015 Market Analysis

November 11
02:57 2015

Euro Rejects Lower Prices

After testing lower prices the EUR/USD made an impressive rally and retraced almost all of the earlier losses. I look at the move that occurred in the Euro as a larger type of stop run move essentially. By breaking below the previous lows and then clearly rejecting the test of lower prices it does increase the likelihood of further upside today. I would call the Euro as having a first push up but half of the move to the upside occurred during Asia which is outside our criteria. 

For today our bias remains open on direction and we now have much better manipulation points to work from. 

EUR/USD Chart - November 11th 2015

GBP/USD Rallies During Asia

The Pound looks to have saved its movement for after the end of the NY Session. Overall we did have a stop run of the upper level but the stop run occurred outside of our valid trading hours. We also had the addition of one lower manipulation point. During the European session a new lower manipulation formed from which I would have considered a stop run to go long. I talked about this during our live trading room, but the NY Session was pretty well dead and we never retested the level.

Today I’m keeping the directional bias open. Like the Euro, we have some better manipulation points to trade from today in the GBP/USD. With that being said we really don’t have a good lower manipulation point that is close to the current price. As I always say though, it is far better to trade from a substantial level than trying to force a trade from a weaker level. I would much rather miss a trade than force a trade from a weak level. 

GBP/USD Chart - November 11th 2015

Forex News For November 11th 2015

UK Average Earnings Index & Claimant Count Change 4:30 AM Eastern: Forex Factory has Claimant Count Change as the most important item but based on previous price action Average Earning is by far the most important of the two. This month 3.2 is the expected number for Average Earnings.

ECB Pres Draghi Speaks 8:15 AM Eastern: Although this is marked as high impact it is a tough call as to the volatility around this speech. A lot of times these items are unlikely to create much movement.


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About Author

Sterling Suhr

Sterling Suhr

Hey everyone, my name is Sterling Suhr. You and I more than likely have quite a bit in common when it comes to Forex trading. Like most, I started trading Forex and thought it would be rather easy.Everything I read said it would make you profitable so why wouldn't I believe it Forex trading was easy? The unfortunate part is that belief, and the hope that goes along with it pushed me into buying every scam Forex product there was. I've tried every EA, software, strategy, chart pattern, candle pattern, signal service, etc, all with negative results. The bottom line is mainstream Forex trading strategy will continue to fail retail traders. It wasn't until I realized this point did I begin to see success.On a personal note I currently reside in South Western Michigan. I personally love this part of the country and enjoy having a taste of all four seasons. I was recently married in May of 2012 and Chad has given me a stiff warning to not have children:) As a personal hobby I enjoy aviation and really anything to do with the outdoors.

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  1. sherlon
    sherlon November 11, 04:19

    hi sir Sterling. What is the time (in GMT) you are referring that you need to see a valid set up or a initiate a trade? Thanks.

    Reply to this comment
    • Sterling Suhr
      Sterling Suhr Author December 07, 14:23

      Because everyone lives in a different time zone I don’t tell you what time it is in your location. Everything I talk about is in Eastern time. You can go to google and type in “world clock”. You can then compare the time in New York to where ever you happen to live and that will tell you the time difference.


      Reply to this comment

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